中国社会老化日就是输给印度时

波恩大学社会学系教授埃里希•威德（Erich Weede）在《法兰克福汇报》撰文，认为在今后20年, 人口老化将导致印度经济增长超过中国。

在比较中国和印度时，印度潜在优势有4个即：英国的法制遗产、民主、英语和较好的人口发展。

有保障的产权和独立司法，简称法治国，被视是良好经济发展制度前提。在原则上, 印度比中国更有优势，然而只是原则上而已。这两个国家都存在着顽固的腐败问题。印度法院在判决时缓慢，以至于有司法不作为之嫌。

政治影响似乎不仅在中国，也在印度发生即, 保护某些人不受法律追究。所以，印度的新闻自由只是一个潜在的优势。对于滥用权力，印度虽然可以比中国更自由地公开讨论，但印度的政治和行政并未因此更廉洁。

计量经济学研究表明，民主和专制在增长速度上没有明显的差别。也许民主和专制之间在增长前景上的差别根本就不在于平均值，而在于变量：民主倾向于以一般的速度与世界经济相接近地增长，而专制则会远远低于或者远远高于中间值。

中国经济史就是证明，在毛泽东领导下，中国国民经济增长比世界经济更缓慢。在所谓的大跃进中，农业生产合作社过渡到庞大的人民公社，用农村小高炉推动工业化，在这一过程中，有超过3000万人饿死，按照新的研究甚至超过4000万人。

在邓小平及其继任者领导下，中国自1979年以来经历了一个经济奇迹。 在独裁体制中，一切都取决于领导人的质量。在毛泽东领导下，中国人度过一段可怕的时光，自邓小平以来，中国的政府在经济政策上运气好些。领导人在经济上有能力，不再耽于乌托邦，但中国的一连串好运还能持续多久呢？

印度的王牌是其年轻而且不断增长的人口。在中国，人口快速老化，虽然计划生育政策没有导致妇女只生一个孩子，但中国出生率接近德国，即每个妇女大约1.3个孩子。计划生育政策可以被看作计划经济最后的'苦果'。中国的人口在20年后将会比全世界整体上都更老。

中国人像老化的欧洲和日本一样, 富有之前，就已经老矣。由于男女比例失衡，老化问题更激化，大约8000万中国男子将找不到伴侣。 中国的产权如此不可靠，持续的高速经济增长令人惊异。或许争取投资竞争迫使中国地方政府和省政府以行动表明，似乎他们愿意尊重生产资本的私人占有。但这就可以解释中国的经济增长和没有产权保障之间的矛盾了吗？

作者断言，在今后20年，印度没有机会明显地减少与中国的差距。只有中国变老了，印度的时机才会到来。

Hishammuddin to meet chief editors of newspapers on reporting sensitive issues

Home Minister Hishammuddin Hussein plans to meet chief editors of newspapers on the reporting of sensitive issues.

He said he wanted to ensure that the chief editors exercised caution in the reporting of sensitive issues on race and religion and that they understood they would be held responsible for their action.

Commenting on a report published in Utusan Malaysia recently alleging that certain groups wanted to make Christianity the official religion, Hishammuddin said:

"There are times when the Malay community were unhappy with the reporting of the Chinese newspapers (on sensitive issues) and vice versa.

"It is the responsibility of the chief editors to ensure that their organisations do not go beyond the boundaries set in reporting such issues," he told reporters after opening the Sungai Besar Umno division delegates meeting near Sabak Bernam.

Despite the clarity of the country's publishing laws and guidelines, he said, "every paper has crossed the line (in reporting sensitive issues) one time or another. Now it's Utusan (which has crossed the line)."

Hishammuddin said that it was difficult to control the flow of information on sensitive issues, especially with the emergence of the new media.

"If it (the information) does not make it to the mainstream papers, it will somehow or rather get to the new media like online news portals, Facebook and the short messaging service," he said.

PAS-DAP cooperation is only benefitting DAP: Najib

Prime Minister Najib Razak today urged PAS to leave the Pakatan Rakyat coalition as only DAP is reaping benefits from three-member opposition coalition.

He said that the PAS-DAP cooperation is only benefitting the DAP and this could be clearly seen in the just-concluded Sarawak state election where PAS worked very hard but it was the DAP which won.

"In Terangganu, we see posters captioned "PAS ganti UMNO" (PAS replaces Umno) but in reality it's "DAP ganti PAS" (DAP replaces PAS)," he said.

According to Najib, PAS should get out of Pakatan and shift its attention elsewhere.

“It did not matter if the party (PAS) did not want to join the BN,” he said.

Najib said DAP was the dominant force in Pakatan and its two other partners - PAS and PKR - were playing second fiddle to it.

"We see in a number of issues DAP will object if they do not fit into their ideology. So if they were to form the government, they might not be able to agree on major issues," he said.

The prime minister said if PAS wanted to champion Islam, DAP was not the right partner to do this.

“What I want to say is that in the Pakatan coalition now, only the DAP is benefitting."

World Bank Report wanted a change of Prime Minister: Dr Mahathir

The former Prime Minister Tun Dr Mahathir said the World Bank report was politically motivated as it wanted a change of prime minister.

He described the World Bank as “useless”, saying today that it was politically motivated for putting out a report that pro-Bumiputera policies are stunting the country’s economy.

“We have been critical of the World Bank since my time. We said that they were useless. They dislike us and want to have their good friend become prime minister”, seemingly referring to Opposition Leader Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim, a former chairman of its development committee.

The World Bank said on Thursday that more than one million Malaysians live abroad as policies favoring the Malays are holding back the economy, causing a brain drain and limiting foreign investment.

World Bank senior economist Philip Schellekens was quoted as saying that foreign investment could be five times the current levels if the country had Singapore’s talent base.

He said Malaysian migration was increasingly becoming a skill migration with one-third of the one million-strong Malaysian diaspora now consisting of the tertiary educated and expected the trend to continue.

Malaysian Malaysia reflected DAP belief Malaysia is just for Malays - Dr M

Tun Dr Mahathir rubbished DAP’s “Malaysian Malaysia” concept, claiming it reflected the party’s belief that Malaysia is presently just for the Malays.

The former prime minister said the Alliance and the BN have representation from all races is ignored and the parties share power in the Government is also ignored.

Even the opposition was trying to go the way of BN by forming its own pact. But so far they can only co-operate during elections. They now don’t contest against each other. But each party is still racist; concerned only with its own race once the election is over.

He casts aspersions on DAP’s claim to be a multiracial party, pointing out that the overwhelming majority if its members, supporters and leaders are Chinese. Their struggle is principally against anything Malay and for what they claim to be Chinese rights.

“Their disguise that they are for Malaysians is exactly that — it is a disguise. No one is taken in by their claim to be multiracial,” he chided.

He said for 50 years Barisan Nasional coalition has brought prosperity to all races, with the Chinese getting the biggest share because of their skills and ability is deliberately disregarded.

Tun Dr Mahathir Mohamad insisted today that Malaysians are not yet ready to discard their ethnic origins by identifying themselves with only their nationality instead of their race. That day has not arrived yet. Until then, only the BN coalition can represent all races in Malaysia.

He said this was why Barisan Nasional as a coalition comprising various race-based parties like Umno, MCA and MIC, was still relevant in the country’s political landscape.

He claimed it was likely that the BN formula of combining race-based parties was responsible for bringing Malaysia years of peace while other nations with the same racial diversity languished with numerous racial and religious clashes.

“With the ensuing stability, Malaysia was able to develop and prosper. Can anyone deny that?” he said.

Blame Pakatan Rakyat if Sarawak's Pribumi community denies all their demands: Sarawak Perkasa

The Sarawak Perkasa told BN to brush aside the demands of the Chinese and focus instead on “reinstating” the rights and privileges of the bumiputeras in the state.

Sarawak Perkasa chief Abang Abdul Nasser Abang Hadari said the Chinese have betrayed the ruling coalition by “membalas susu dengan tuba” (repaying milk with poison)."

“Ever since Perkasa was launched in Sarawak, it has never questioned any claims by the Chinese, as a sign of respect for the 1Malaysia concept.

“The Chinese community should blame Pakatan Rakyat, and even more so DAP, if Sarawak's pribumi community denies all their demands.”

Abang Abdul implied support for Utusan's views, calling on the federal and Sarawak governments to realise the special rights for pribumis in Sabah and Sarawak by, among others, replacing the New Economic Policy with an affirmative action policy tailored for them.

His other demands include:
i. Realising non-Muslim bumiputeras' rights to practise their religion, while respecting Islam as the nation's official religion
ii. Ensuring all pribumis enjoy access to basic infrastructure such as electricity, water and clinics
iii. Automatic scholarships for bumiputeras in Sabah and Sarawak who achieve the minimum requirements to enter college and universities
iv. Special leeway for bumiputera students in public universities for all critical courses
v. Ensure that projects and contracts for bumiputera contractors and companies are issued transparently and effectively to allow ease of monitoring

“Perkasa congratulates Sarawak's pribumis and the BN government under the leadership of Abdul Taib Mahmud and his elected representatives for winning their respective constituencies,” he added.

“BN must retain its fixed deposit in Sarawak, and not allow anyone to disturb or challenge it.”

Utusan calls for 1Melayu, 1Bumi movement

Utusan Malaysia called on its owners Umno to spearhead a 1Melayu, 1Bumi movement involving all Malay parties — claiming DAP was intent on toppling the country’s Malay leadership.

“What Umno needs to do now, in this pressing time, is to launch a wave of racial unity - 1Melayu, 1Bumi. Launch 1Melayu, 1Bumi immediately with other Malay parties,” assistant chief editor Datuk Zaini Hassan wrote in the Malay daily today.

He said that DAP’s slogans in the recently concluded Sarawak state election called for Chinese voters to change the Malay-led government, adding that they already controlled everything and was now aiming for political power.

“Only absolute political power has not been controlled by the Chinese, everything else has been taken. Now DAP bringing great slogans among them, Undi Untuk Ubah (Vote for Change), Enough is Enough and Selamatkan Malaysia (Save Malaysia).

“In truth, those slogans are aimed at no one else but specifically the Chinese. It is displayed proudly on the chests of DAP candidates and supporters in the Sarawak election so that the Malay leadership of Malaysia is changed,” he added.

In his column, he said that the Chinese community was a united force whose “brotherhood” was unmatched by any other race in the country. He said that despite their different political stands, Chinese voters would unite when the time came to decide the fate of their community.

Zaini also said that the Chinese community helped each other economically and stood together unwaveringly to protect their culture, language and vernacular education.

“The Chinese language is a high priority and it is said that even Chinese who cannot read Chinese will still buy Chinese newspapers.

“In short, the Chinese are actually very fortunate to be in Malaysia. They have controlled everything. The top ten Chinese are Malaysian billionaires,” he wrote.

However, he provided no facts to substantiate the claim that the Chinese community was such a united force. Zaini said that while DAP has united the Chinese politically, Malays have so far done nothing in response.

“They are a race that is quite comfortable, complacent and apathetic. In fact, their thoughts are quite disorganised,” he wrote.

Zaini said that if PAS refused to participate in the 1Melayu, 1Bumi movement, Umno could join hands with the dozens of Malay NGOs who were established because they were “thirsting to fight for the interests of the race that is increasingly being left behind.” He added that Chinese component parties in Barisan Nasional (BN) would not be upset with such a move to unite Malays as Chinese were already united.